Will Dream Chaser land on a runway after its first orbital demonstration?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Sierra Space’s Dream Chaser completes its first orbital demonstration mission by returning from Earth orbit and making a controlled landing on a runway with the main spaceplane remaining substantially intact.

The vehicle must first reach Earth orbit; a drop test, suborbital hop or atmospheric glide is insufficient. A controlled runway landing counts despite repairable damage, an off-centre touchdown or failure of a nonessential payload. Destruction of the spacepl

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 68%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 32%.