Will the Supreme Court let the USPS mail-ballot rule operate in the 2026 midterms?

Question

This market resolves YES if the U.S. Supreme Court grants a stay or other emergency relief that removes the nationwide judicial block on the USPS 2026 ballot-mail rule in time for any of its envelope-design or voter-list requirements to be legally enforceable for ballots used in the November 3, 2026 federal election. The Court previously addressed a related executive-order challenge on standing grounds, while a separate block continues to govern the Postal Service rule. This market requires oper

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 48%.