Will Canada and the United States resume ministerial-level trade negotiations by October 31?

Question

This market resolves YES if at least one Canadian federal cabinet minister and one U.S. Cabinet-level official or United States Trade Representative participate in the same bilateral meeting expressly described by either government as negotiations over tariffs or the broader Canada–U.S. trade relationship by October 31, 2026. The officials may meet in person or by live video, but both sides must take part contemporaneously. A phone call counts only when an official readout says substantive negot

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 43%.