Will January’s first High Seas Treaty summit establish a marine protected area?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the first Conference of the Parties to the UN High Seas Treaty, scheduled for January 11–22, 2027 in New York, formally adopts a decision establishing at least one geographically identified marine protected area under that treaty. The treaty is also known as the BBNJ Agreement. Its entry into force is already a past event and does not itself satisfy this contract.

The adopted decision must identify the protected area's geographic boundaries directly or through an

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 82%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 18%.