Will Tom Cruise receive a Best Actor Oscar nomination on January 21?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Tom Cruise appears among the Academy’s officially announced nominees for Actor in a Leading Role at the 99th Academy Awards, scheduled for January 21, 2027. Any eligible performance qualifies; this market does not require that the nomination be for Digger specifically. An honorary Oscar, presenting appearance, producer nomination or Supporting Actor nomination does not qualify.

This predicts nomination, not winning the March ceremony. Inclusion in a campaign adve

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 64%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 36%.