Will Ariane 6 deploy all 36 Amazon Leo satellites on mission LE-04?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Arianespace or Amazon officially confirms that all 36 Amazon Leo satellites carried on mission LE-04, also designated flight VA271, have been successfully deployed into their intended initial low Earth orbits. The Ariane 6 launch is announced for no earlier than November 23, 2026, from Europe's Spaceport in French Guiana. That date is a planning floor, not a guaranteed liftoff appointment. The question is about complete deployment during this particular mission, n

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 87%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 13%.