Will AfD win the most party-list votes in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Question

This market resolves Yes if Alternative for Germany, AfD, receives a higher official statewide party-list vote share than every other party in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election.

The market does not depend on whether AfD forms or participates in the next government.

Constituency votes and direct mandates do not determine resolution. If two parties are tied by percentage, the higher certified number of valid party-list votes will determine first place.
Mecklenburg-Vorp

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — this is how it resolved (100% final community forecast).

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 0%.