Will the United States enact a federal AI safety law before January 1, 2027?

Question

This market resolves YES if the United States enacts new federal legislation primarily regulating artificial intelligence safety, governance, deployment or frontier AI systems before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

To qualify, the legislation must:

Be passed by both chambers of Congress;
Be signed into law or otherwise become law under the U.S. Constitution;
Contain substantive nationwide legal requirements specifically addressing artificial intelligence.

The following do not qualify:

Executiv

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 64%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 36%.