Will the UK and Oman sign a new operational Hormuz pact during the October state visit?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the UK and Oman sign or jointly formally adopt a new written operational agreement on shipping security in the Strait of Hormuz during Sultan Haitham’s state visit scheduled for October 20–22, 2026. The agreement must authorise at least one new concrete measure: joint maritime patrols, coordinated naval escorts, shared operational command or a new facility-access arrangement explicitly serving Hormuz navigation. A memorandum of understanding qualifies if it commit

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 64%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 36%.