Will the Danube at Budapest first return to at least 93 cm during October 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the first official water-level reading at or above 93 centimeters recorded for the Danube at the Budapest gauge, station HU442027, during the applicable observation period occurs between October 1, 2026 at 12:00:00 AM UTC and October 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM UTC.

The observation period begins at August 10, 2026 at 3:36 PM UTC, corresponding to the opening timestamp of the directly comparable Polymarket event.

A single official reading of 93 centimeters or higher

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 64%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 36%.