Will Switzerland approve the Neutrality Initiative on September 27, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Swiss Federal Popular Initiative “Safeguard Swiss neutrality (Neutrality Initiative)” is officially approved in the nationwide vote scheduled for September 27, 2026.

Because the proposal seeks to amend the Swiss Federal Constitution, approval requires the constitutionally applicable double majority:

a majority of valid popular votes cast nationwide must support the initiative; and
a majority of the Swiss cantonal votes must support the initiative.

Both requirem

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 73%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 27%.