Will the Bank of England forecast inflation above 3% for late 2027 in its November 5 report?

Question

This market resolves YES if the November 5, 2026 Monetary Policy Report gives a central projection for UK twelve-month CPI inflation in Q4 2027 strictly above 3.0%, conditional on market interest-rate expectations. Use the report’s central modal projection or the expressly designated central forecast, not an upper risk band, a worst-case energy scenario or an individual MPC member’s view. Exactly 3.0% resolves NO. A statement that inflation might temporarily exceed 3% is insufficient without tha

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 51%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 49%.