Will the Lockerbie bombing trial scheduled for January 19, 2027 end in a guilty verdict?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the first completed trial of Abu Agila Mohammad Mas’ud Kheir Al-Marimi in US District Court for the District of Columbia, currently scheduled to begin jury selection on January 19, 2027, produces a guilty verdict on at least one charged offence arising from the destruction of Pan Am Flight 103. The relevant proceeding is case 1:22-cr-00392-DLF. An accusation, admission reported by investigators, or judicial finding that evidence is admissible is not a guilty verdi

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.