Will Japan’s October inflation reach 2.5% in the November 20 release?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Japan’s Statistics Bureau reports national all-items consumer-price inflation of at least 2.5% year on year for October 2026 in the release scheduled for November 20, 2026. Exactly 2.5% resolves YES. The geographic measure is Japan as a whole, not the preliminary Tokyo-area index. The basket includes fresh food and energy; neither of the commonly quoted Japanese core measures substitutes for it.

Use the year-on-year rate printed in the first national October rele

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 51%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 49%.