Will Nayib Bukele win El Salvador’s February 28 presidential election?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Nayib Bukele is officially declared the winner of El Salvador’s presidential election scheduled for February 28, 2027. The Supreme Electoral Tribunal’s legally effective determination controls. This market concerns the presidency, not the number of seats won by Nuevas Ideas, the municipal elections, Bukele’s approval rating or whether he remains in office while an electoral dispute is being considered.

The victory must belong to Bukele personally. Another Nuevas

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 91%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 9%.