Will at least 10% of French secondary-school teachers join the November 5 strike?

Question

This market will resolve YES if France's Ministry of National Education reports a weighted secondary-education teacher strike participation rate of at least 10.00% for the November 5, 2026 mobilisation. Use the ministry's statistic labelled “moyenne pondérée 2 nd degré”, or an explicitly identified successor measuring the same secondary-school teaching population. Exactly 10.00% qualifies; 9.99% does not.

This is not the percentage of students absent, schools disrupted, lessons cancelled or all

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 66%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 34%.