Will UnitedHealth beat $4.19 adjusted EPS in its October 13 results?

Question

This market will resolve YES if UnitedHealth Group reports adjusted diluted earnings per share strictly greater than $4.19 for the standalone third quarter of 2026 in the results scheduled for October 13, 2026. The threshold is fixed and does not change when analyst forecasts or the share price change.

Use the issuer-reconciled adjusted diluted EPS, not GAAP EPS or the annual outlook. Exactly $4.19 is NO. A change in medical-cost ratio alone does not resolve the question. The amount published i

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 72%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 28%.