Will a court still block construction of Trump’s arch when its initial 14-day freeze ends?

Question

This market will resolve YES if a binding judicial order prevents the federal government from commencing substantive construction of President Trump’s proposed monumental arch at Memorial Circle at 00:00 Eastern Standard Time on November 20, 2026. This is the contractual observation immediately after the initial fourteen-day restraint issued on November 5. It is not a prediction that a hearing has been scheduled for November 20.

A qualifying restriction may be an extension of the temporary rest

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 63%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 37%.