Will the Bank of Japan raise its policy rate at the January 22 meeting?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Bank of Japan's Policy Board raises its target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate in the policy decision concluding the January 21–22, 2027 Monetary Policy Meeting. The adopted target must be strictly above the target in force immediately before this decision. The contract concerns this meeting's change, not whether rates are above their October 2026 level or whether the yen appreciates afterward.

Use the official Statement on Monetary Policy or gui

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 43%.