Will Yashar win more Knesset seats than Likud on October 27?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the official result of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election awards strictly more seats to the electoral list led by Gadi Eisenkot and officially representing Yashar than to the electoral list officially representing Likud.

Yashar must finish with at least one more Knesset seat than Likud. A tie resolves NO.

The market concerns seats, not nationwide vote share, coalition size, recommendations to the president or the identity of the next prime minister.

If

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.