Will PP win an outright majority of Madrid’s Congress seats on November 29?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Partido Popular wins strictly more than half of all Congress seats officially allocated to the Madrid constituency in that election. The election is the Spanish Congress of Deputies election called for 29 November 2026, not the Senate election, an autonomous-community election or the later investiture of a prime minister. The denominator is Madrid’s official seat allocation for this election, not the seat count from a previous election. If the allocation is 37

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 68%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 32%.