Will Apple obtain a delay to Australia’s March 1 opening of iPhone app distribution?

Question

This market will resolve YES if a judicial extension, stay or variation is legally effective at noon Melbourne time on March 1, 2027  and prevents the principal alternative-iOS-distribution obligations in Epic Games,Inc v Apple Inc (No2),[2026]FCA1552 from becoming enforceable at that original commencement time. The relevant obligations concern Australian Apple Accounts and access to alternative app marketplaces or direct distribution, not merely Apple’s separate obligation to readmit Fortnite.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 55%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 45%.