Will Russia and Ukraine announce a general ceasefire agreement before October 1, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine publicly announce that they have mutually agreed to a general ceasefire covering the armed conflict between the two countries before October 1, 2026.

The agreement does not need to constitute a permanent peace treaty and may begin after the deadline, provided both sides have formally agreed to it before the deadline.

Limited humanitarian pauses, prisoner-exchange truces, local ceasefires, pauses covering only specific infrastructure, unilateral ce

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 87%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 13%.