Will Madison Air's $5.4 billion acquisition of ebm-papst receive German regulatory approval before November 1, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the competent German authorities formally grant the regulatory approvals required for Madison Air Solutions' announced acquisition of ebm-papst before November 1, 2026.

An approval subject to ordinary closing conditions qualifies. Filing the transaction, opening a review, statements that approval is expected or approvals from jurisdictions other than Germany do not independently qualify.

The transaction does not need to have financially closed before the deadline if

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 61%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 39%.