Will Russia keep its diesel export ban on producers after the January 31 expiry?

Question

This market will resolve YES if at 00:00 Europe/Moscow on February 1, 2027, a legally effective Russian federal measure continues a general prohibition on commercial exports of diesel fuel by domestic producers beyond the January 31 expiry of Government Resolution No.954 of July 30, 2026 , as amended by Resolution No.1436 of October 31, 2026 . The relevant question is the legal regime applying to producers at that moment, not whether every shipment has physically stopped.

Resolve YES if that pr

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 31%.