Will the ECB raise its deposit facility rate on September 10, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the European Central Bank (ECB), in the monetary-policy decision associated with the Governing Council meeting scheduled for September 9–10, 2026, announces a deposit facility rate strictly higher than the rate in force immediately before that decision. It resolves NO if the announced rate is unchanged or lower. The effective date may be later than September 10; the announced rate controls. A change only to the main refinancing operations rate, marginal lending facili

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 42%.