Will China launch Chang’e-7 during the first August 24 launch window?

Question

This market will resolve YES if China's Chang’e-7 lunar exploration spacecraft, launched aboard its designated Long March 5 carrier rocket from the Wenchang Space Launch Site in Hainan, achieves liftoff during the first identified launch window on August 24, 2026, from 00:00 UTC through 04:00 UTC inclusive.

For purposes of resolution, “liftoff” means that the Long March 5 carrying Chang’e-7 physically departs the launch platform under its own propulsion. Successful orbital insertion, translunar

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 60%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 40%.