Will UK growth stay at 0.5% or higher in the November 12 GDP release?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Office for National Statistics first quarterly estimate for July–September 2026 reports UK real GDP growth of at least 0.5% compared with April–June 2026, seasonally adjusted. Equality qualifies. The scheduled release is November 12 at 07:00 GMT. This asks whether quarterly economic growth remains at or above the specified pace despite energy-price and household-spending pressures; it does not ask whether the country is officially declared to be in recession.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 43%.