Will Likud win 25 or more seats in Israel's October 27, 2026 election?

Question

This market resolves YES if Likud wins 25 or more seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the October 27, 2026 legislative election.

Exactly 25 seats qualifies as YES.

The official final allocation of Knesset seats published by Israel's Central Elections Committee will determine resolution.

Exit polls, television projections, preliminary vote counts and coalition negotiations do not determine resolution.

If Likud contests the election as part of an officially registered joint electoral l

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 38%.