Will Canaletto’s Grand Canal view fetch $8 million at Sotheby’s October 21 evening sale?

Question

This market resolves YES if Canaletto’s Venice, View of the Grand Canal Looking East with Santa Maria della Salute, announced for Sotheby’s Magnum Opus evening auction in New York on October 21, 2026, sells for at least USD 8,000,000 including buyer’s premium. The auction is scheduled for 19:00 EDT.

The building and direction in the catalogue title identify this painting; a different view of Venice cannot replace it. Sotheby’s published USD 6–8 million estimate is a pre-sale range, not a claim

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 43%.