Will another drone or missile from a Russian attack on Ukraine enter Romanian airspace before September 1, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if, after this market opens and before September 1, 2026, Romania's Ministry of National Defence officially confirms that at least one drone, missile or other unmanned aerial weapon associated with a Russian attack against Ukraine entered Romania's sovereign airspace.

The aerial object does not need to crash, explode or be intercepted in Romania. A temporary confirmed penetration of Romanian sovereign airspace is sufficient.

The object must be officially linked to, or

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 53%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 47%.