Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on covered Canadian goods take effect by August 22, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the additional 50% ad valorem duties on covered Canadian goods established by President Donald Trump’s July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations legally begin applying at any time on or before August 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time.

The qualifying tariffs are the additional 50% duties imposed under the July 20 Section 338 proclamations concerning covered Canadian products, including the relevant measures addressing Canadian practices involving alcoholic beverages, da

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 31%.