Will NASA's EXCITE telescope launch during the 2026–27 Antarctic balloon campaign?

Question

This market resolves YES if NASA's Columbia Scientific Balloon Facility records EXCITE as launched from Antarctica during the campaign scheduled for December 2026–January 2027. The balloon must be released into free flight carrying the EXCITE payload. A captive test, rollout, inflation aborted before release or another payload does not qualify.

A qualifying action must be public, attributable to the named authority and operational rather than merely discussed. A press report, unnamed-source cla

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 67%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 33%.