Will Tesla officially announce a separation, sale or spin-off of its China business before November 30, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Tesla officially announces, on or before November 30, 2026, a definitive plan or binding transaction to sell, spin off, divest or otherwise separate all or a substantial portion of its China automotive business from Tesla's principal global corporate structure.

A qualifying announcement may involve the Shanghai Gigafactory, Tesla's Chinese vehicle-manufacturing operation or a newly established entity controlling a substantial portion of Tesla's China automotive a

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 68%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 32%.