Will the U.S. Treasury postpone the December 18 opening of the PDVSA bond licence linked to Citgo?

Question

This market will resolve YES if at 00:00 America/New_York on December 18, 2026, an operative OFAC instrument has moved the commencement date of the general authorization in paragraph (a) of Venezuela General License 5AA to a date later than December 18, 2026, or has withdrawn that general authorization so that it does not become available on that date. GL 5AA, issued on November 4, 2026, concerns dealings in the PDVSA 2020 8.5 percent bond, whose pledged collateral is connected with Citgo. The q

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 75%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 25%.