Will California vote to make its high-earner income tax permanent on November 3?

Question

This market will resolve YES if California Proposition 3, concerning making the additional income tax on high earners permanent, is officially approved in the November 3, 2026 statewide general election. Approval is determined by the California Secretary of State's certified statewide result for this exact proposition, not by a poll, a campaign announcement or a projection by a television network.

This is Proposition 3's income-tax extension, not Proposition 40's separate billionaire wealth-tax

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 78%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 22%.