Will the United States and Canada announce an agreement to lower U.S. tariffs on Canada by August 31, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if, on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time, the governments of the United States and Canada publicly announce their acceptance of the same bilateral diplomatic agreement, arrangement, deal, treaty, memorandum, joint understanding, or substantially similar instrument whose stated terms reduce, revoke, suspend, prevent the implementation of, or otherwise lower at least one United States tariff applicable to imports from Canada.

Both governments must publicl

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 65%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 35%.