Will NOAA record an X-class solar flare between September 4 and October 31, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the condition below is satisfied according to the designated source.

YES

NOAA SWPC records at least one flare whose official GOES class begins with X during the UTC window.

NO

No X-class flare is recorded during the window. M-class and lower events do not count.

Special cases

Official corrections published before Problyx resolution control. If the event is cancelled and not completed within 30 days, cancel the market.

Primary resolution source

https://www.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 60%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 40%.