Will Sánchez’s 2027 budget survive its first return-amendments vote in Congress?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the first Government of Spain State Budget bill for fiscal 2027 brought to a return-amendments vote in the Congress of Deputies survives that stage because every amendment requiring its return to the government is rejected.

If several return amendments are voted separately, all must fail. Acceptance of any one that returns the bill resolves NO. Use the final parliamentary result after any immediate repeat vote required by the chamber’s tie rules. Abstention is tr

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 42%.