Will NASA's Swift Observatory reenter Earth's atmosphere before Katalyst's Link spacecraft?

Question

This market resolves YES if the official U.S. space-object catalogue records the decay or atmospheric reentry of NASA's Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory earlier in Coordinated Universal Time than the decay or atmospheric reentry of Katalyst Space Technologies' Link servicing spacecraft. The objects must be the Swift observatory launched in 2004 and the Link spacecraft used in the attempted 2026 rescue mission. Controlled disposal, uncontrolled decay and destructive reentry all qualify. A loss of c

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 81%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 19%.