Will Hailey Bieber include Justin in an Instagram post on her 30th birthday, November 22?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Hailey Bieber publishes a public Instagram feed post or Reel featuring both Hailey Bieber and Justin Bieber on 22 November 2026, between 00:00 and 23:59:59 America/Los_Angeles, and explicitly links that publication to 30th birthday. A post published during birthday week but outside 22 November does not count. The presence of their child is neither required nor relevant.

The caption, on-screen text or clearly audible speech must mention the birthday or the stated

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 48%.