Will the IEA forecast shrinking global oil demand for 2027 in its October 14 report?

Question

This market resolves YES if the October 14, 2026 Oil Market Report forecasts a negative year-on-year change in worldwide oil demand for the full calendar year 2027 relative to 2026. 
A published change below zero qualifies; zero growth or any positive growth resolves NO. Use the global total in million barrels per day or its explicitly stated annual change, not OECD demand, gasoline consumption or a single quarter. A downward revision to a still-positive growth forecast is not a contraction. Thi

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 82%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 18%.