Will the Supreme Court take up Trump’s replacement immigration-detention case?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the US Supreme Court grants certiorari in the September 2026 petition titled Genalo v. D.C., filed by the federal government as a replacement for the dismissed Genalo v. Black detention case.

A grant on at least one of the petition’s two prolonged-detention or burden-of-proof questions qualifies, including a grant before judgment or consolidation for merits argument. Requesting a response, distributing a petition to conference or granting a temporary stay is insu

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 82%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 18%.