Will Hera identify a distinct DART impact crater during its first month surveying Dimorphos?

Question

This market resolves YES if ESA's Hera mission team explicitly identifies a distinct impact crater produced by NASA's DART collision on Dimorphos, using observations acquired during Hera's first 30 calendar days of its close asteroid survey. A successful arrival alone does not satisfy this market: the question is whether the aftermath includes a recognisable crater, rather than only a globally reshaped body.

Day 1 is the calendar day in UTC on which ESA officially declares that Hera has begun i

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 42%.