Will Sarkozy receive an unsuspended prison sentence in the November 30 Libya-case appeal ruling?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Paris Court of Appeal imposes on Nicolas Sarkozy a term of imprisonment with a strictly positive unsuspended portion in its ruling on the alleged Libyan financing of his 2007 presidential campaign, expected on November 30, 2026. The contract measures the sentence pronounced in this appeal, not whether police immediately take him into custody.

A sentence partly suspended qualifies if at least one day remains unsuspended. A term whose execution is stayed pending a

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 42%.