Will Sabastian Sawe break his marathon world record at the 2026 Berlin Marathon?

Question

This market will resolve YES if… Sabastian Sawe completes the elite men's race at the 2026 BMW Berlin Marathon on September 27, 2026 in an official net finishing time strictly faster than 1:59:30, and that performance is recognised by the race organiser and World Athletics as eligible for record purposes.

A finishing time of exactly 1:59:30 resolves NO because the existing record must be broken rather than tied.

The official timing result published by the Berlin Marathon will be used. If timin

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 70%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 30%.